Program

Sunday, February 25

PRE-CONFERENCE EVENTS

5:00 PM - 6:30 PM - AUBER Welcome Reception
Congressional Room
Capital Hilton

6:30 PM - 8:30 PM - Small Group Dinners
Area restaurants
(pre-registration required via link in registration confirmation email)

Monday, February 26

CONFERENCE PROGRAM

7:30 AM - 8:00 AM - Continental Breakfast
Ballroom Foyer

8:00 AM - 8:45 AM U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy
Presidential Ballroom
James Bullard, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Moderator: Ellen Zentner, Chief U.S. Economist, Morgan Stanley

8:45 AM - 9:45 AM Perspectives on U.S. Fiscal Policy
Presidential Ballroom
Edward Leamer, Distinguished Professor, Chauncey J. Medberry Chair in Management, Director, UCLA Anderson Forecast
Alice Rivlin, Senior Fellow - Economic Studies, Center for Health Policy, Brookings Institution
Moderator: Jeff Holland, Vice President for Research, Peter G. Peterson Foundation

9:45 AM - 10:45 AM Globalization and the Politics of Resentment
Presidential Ballroom
Katherine J. Cramer, Professor of Political Science, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Gordon Hanson, Director, Center on Global Transformation, UC San Diego
Moderator: Stuart Mackintosh, CBE, Executive Director, Group of Thirty

10:45 AM - 11:15 AM  Poster Session / Networking Break
Ballroom Foyer

11:15 AM - 12:15 PM - Concurrent Session I 

A. Economic Impact of Tax Reform
Congressional
Alex Brill, Resident Fellow, American Enterprise Institute
William Gale, Arjay and Frances Miller Chair in Federal Economic Policy and Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution
Maya MacGuineas, President, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget
Moderator: Joel Prakken, Vice President, Chief US Economist, and Co-head US Economics, Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit

B. Rethinking the Monetary Policy Framework in a Low Interest Rate Environment
Federal A/B
David Altig, Executive Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Peter Hooper, Managing Director, Chief Economist, Deutsche Bank Securities
Moderator: Ed Kean, Senior Economic Policy Analyst, Observatory Group

C. The Poster States of the Housing Bubble: 10 Years On
Hosted by AUBER
Senate
James Diffley, CBE, Senior Director, IHS Markit
Jeffrey Michael, Director of the Center for Business and Policy Research, University of the Pacific
Moderator: Sean Snaith, Director, Institute for Economic Competitiveness, University of Central Florida

12:15 PM - 1:40 PM - Luncheon
Presidential Ballroom
Kevin Hassett, Chair, Council of Economic Advisers
Moderator: Constance Hunter, CBE, Chief Economist, KPMG

1:45 PM - 2:45 PM - Concurrent Session II 

A. Assessing the Economic Effects of the Dodd-Frank Reforms
Congressional
James R. Barth, Lowder Eminent Scholar in Finance, Auburn University
Douglas Elliott, Partner, Finance & Risk/Public Policy Practice, Oliver Wyman
Carl Tannenbaum, CBE, Executive Vice President and Chief Economist, Northern Trust
Moderator: Richard A. Brown, CBE, Chief Economist and Deputy Director for Regulatory Analysis, Division of Insurance and Research, FDIC

B. How is Policy Altering the Future Mix of Energy in the US?
Federal A/B
Kevin Petak, Vice President, ICF
Charles Rossmann, Forecasting and Model Development Manager, Southern Company
Christine Tezak, Managing Director, Utilities, Pipeline and Environmental Policy, Clearview Energy Partners
Moderator: Kevin Swift, CBE, 2017-18 NABE Vice President; Chief Economist, American Chemistry Council

C. Technology & Automation: Impact on Transportation 
Senate
Finch Fulton, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Transportation Policy, U.S. Department of Transportation
David Libatique, Senior Director of Government Affairs, Port of Los Angeles
Moderator: Emily Kolinski Morris, CBE, Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company

2:45 PM - 3:15 PM Poster Session / Networking Break
Ballroom Foyer

3:15 PM - 4:00 PM An Assessment of the U.S. Economy
Presidential Ballroom
Randal K. Quarles, Vice Chairman for Supervision, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Moderator: George A. Kahn, CBE, Vice President and Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City 

4:00 PM - 5:00 PM Matching Skills to Meet Future Labor Demand
Presidential Ballroom
Allen Blue, VP of Product Management and Co-Founder, LinkedIn
Jason Furman, Nonresident Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Moderator: Diane Lim, Principal Economist, The Conference Board

6:00 PM - 7:30 PM Reception hosted by H.E. Dirk Wouters, Ambassador of the Kingdom of Belgium to the United States of America, and Mrs. Katrin Wouters at their residence

Residence of the Belgian Ambassador
2300 Foxhall Road, NW
Washington, DC 

Featuring remarks from Catherine L. Mann, Global Chief Economist, Citi; former Chief Economist, OECD

Buses depart will depart from the lobby beginning at 5:15pm and return to the hotel and GetConnected Meet-Up beginning at 7:00pm. 
NOTE: Space is limited for the reception: Only attendees who RSVP'd and received an email confirmation from NABE will be permitted to attend. 

7:00 PM - 9:00 PM - GetConnected Networking Meet Up
Sidecar @ PJ Clarke's
(located across the street from the Capital Hilton, downstairs level)

Tuesday, February 27

7:30 AM - 8:00 AM - Continental Breakfast
Ballroom Foyer

8:00 AM - 8:45 AM The Outlook for NAFTA and the Future of Free Trade
Presidential Ballroom
Manuel Balmaseda, CBE, Chief Economist, CEMEX
Gregory Daco, Chief US Economist, Oxford Economics
John E. McLaren, Professor, University of Virginia
Moderator: Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, CBE, Senior Economist and Interim Associate Director of Social Science and Policy, University of Michigan Energy Institute

8:45 AM - 9:45 AM Political Outlook
Presidential Ballroom
Charles Cook, Editor and Publisher, The Cook Political Report
Greg Valliere, Chief Global Strategist, Horizon Investments
Moderator: Diane Swonk, CBE, Chief Economist and Managing Director, Grant Thornton LLP

9:45 AM - 10:30 AM Regulatory Reform and American Prosperity
Presidential Ballroom
Neomi Rao, Administrator, White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs 
Moderator: Allen Irish, Senior Counsel, American Coatings Association

10:30 AM - 11:00 AM Networking Break
Ballroom Foyer

11:00 AM - 12:00 PM - Concurrent Session III 

A. What's Holding Back Housing?
Congressional
Mark Calabria, Chief Economist, Office of Vice President Mike Pence 
Laurie Goodman, Co-Director, Housing Finance Policy Center, Urban Institute
Mark Vitner, CBE, Managing Director and Senior Economist, Wells Fargo
Moderator: Mark Palim, Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist, Fannie Mae

B. Policies to Ensure a Vibrant US Manufacturing Sector
Senate
Keith Belton, Director of the Manufacturing Policy Initiative, Indiana University Bloomington
J.D. Foster, Senior Vice President of the Economic Policy Division and Chief Economist, U.S. Chamber of Commerce
Patrick McLaughlin, Director of the Program for Economic Research on Regulation and Senior Research Fellow, Mercatus Center at George Mason University
Moderator: Timothy Gill, CBE, Chief Economist, American Iron and Steel Institute

C. The ACA Still Under Siege: What Does 2018 Have in Store?
Statler
Doug Badger, Senior Fellow, Galen Institute
Cynthia Cox, Director for the Program for the Study of Health Reform and Private Insurance, Kaiser Family Foundation
Moderator: Robert Graboyes, Senior Research Fellow and Health Care Scholar, Mercatus Center at George Mason University

12:00 PM - 1:30 PM - 2018 Paul A. Volcker Lifetime Achievement Award Luncheon and Lecture
Presidential Ballroom 
Mervyn Allister King, Baron King of Lothbury, Former Governor of the Bank of England
Introduction: Mine Yücel, CBE, 2017-18 NABE President; Senior Vice President and Senior Research Advisor, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Presentation of NABE Fellow Award to Catherine L. Mann

1:40 PM - 2:40 PM - Concurrent Session IV 

A. Economic Impact of Various Immigration Reform Proposals 
Congressional
Jared Bernstein, Senior Fellow, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
Robert Rector, Senior Research Fellow, The Heritage Foundation
Moderator: Frederick Treyz, Chief Economist/CEO, REMI

B. Towards a United States of Europe?
Senate
Harm Bandholz, Chief US Economist, UniCredit Group
Michala Marcussen, Group Chief Economist, Societe Generale
Moderator: Gregory Daco, Chief US Economist, Oxford Economics

C. Decline in Business Formation: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Options
Statler
Claire Kramer Mills, Assistant Vice President and Community Affairs Officer, Outreach and Education, Federal Reserve Bank of New York 
David Talan, Chief, Division of Admin Statistics Startup/Small Business Trends, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Holly Wade, Director of Research and Policy Analysis, NFIB
Moderator: Daniel Bean, Financial Analyst, FDIC

2:40 PM - 3:00 PM Coffee Break
Ballroom Foyer

3:00 PM - 3:45 PM The Opioid Crisis: Economic Consequences, Causes, and Possible Cures
Presidential Ballroom
Alan B. Krueger, Bendheim Professor of Economics & Public Affairs, Princeton University
Moderator: Julia Coronado, President and Founder, MacroPolicy Perspectives, LLC

3:00 PM - 3:45 PM Presentation of Daniel Meckstroth Award for Excellence in Manufacturing Research and Paper Lecture
Presented by NABE and Manufacturers Alliance for Productivity and Innovation (MAPI)
Senate

Award Recipients:
Is American Manufacturing in Decline?
Kevin L. Kliesen, CBE, Business Economist and Research Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
John A. Tatom, Fellow, Institute of Applied Economics, Global Health and the Study of Business Enterprise, The Johns Hopkins University
(Paper presented by John A. Tatom)
Moderator: Cliff Waldman, Chief Economist, MAPI

3:45 PM - 4:45 PM - Closing Panel: Impact of AI & Robots on Labor Markets
Presidential Ballroom
Robert Atkinson, President, Information Technology and Innovation Foundation
Michael Mandel, Chief Economic Strategist, Progressive Policy Institute 
Chad Syverson, Eli B. and Harriet B. Williams Professor of Economics, University of Chicago - Booth School of Business 
Moderator: Susan Lund, Partner, McKinsey Global Institute

4:45 PM -  Adjournment