NABE 2009 Professional Development Seminar
The Macro Economy: Data and Models
April 13-15, 2009
Washington, DC
Monday, April 13, 2009
1:00-5:00 PM General Session—Optional Skills
“Economic Statistics from the U.S. Government and Industry Sources”
Maurine Haver, Haver Analytics Slides
“Basic Cycle Measurement Concepts and Applications”
Brian Bethune, IHS Global Insight Slides
“Industry Forecasting"
Paul Thomas, Intel Corporation Slides
Evening Welcome Reception
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
7:00-8:00 AM Continental Breakfast
8:15-8:30 AM Welcome
Rosemary Marcuss, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Paul Thomas, Intel
Corporation
8:30-9:30 AM
"Gross Domestic Product and the National Accounts"
Robert Parker, Consultant, formerly with Bureau of Economic Analysis Slides
Kyle Brown, Bureau of Economic Analysis Slides
Ben Herzon, Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC
Slides
9:45-10:45 AM
"Measuring Employment"
Maurine Haver, Haver Analytics, moderator
Pat Getz, Bureau of Labor Statistics Slides Slides
Tom Nardone, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Dana Saporta, Dresdner Kleinwort Slides
10:45-11:15 AM Coffee Break
11:15-12:30 PM Concurrent Sessions I
A. "Prices - Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index"
Maurine Haver, Haver Analytics, moderator
Michael Horrigan, Bureau of Labor Statistics Horrigan
John Peterson, Congressional Budget Office Peterson
B." Regional Economic Data "
Jack Kleinhenz, Kleinhenz Associates, moderator
Billy Leung, Regional Economic Models, Inc. Leung
Michael Chriszt, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Chriszt
Charles Steindel, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Steindel
12:30-2:00 PM Luncheon
"MA macro model: What does it say? What does it forecast? What data does it use?"
Lynn Reaser, NABE Vice President, Bank of America, moderator
Chris Varvares, NABE President, Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC Slides
2:15-3:15 PM General Session
"Fair Model - What does it say? What does it forecast? What data does it use?"
Brian Bethune, IHS Global Insight, moderator
Ray Fair, Yale University 1 2
3:15-3:45 PM Coffee Break
3:45-5:00 PM Concurrent Session II
A. Flow of Funds
Rosemary Marcuss, Bureau of Economic Analysis, moderator
Susan Hume McIntosh, Federal Reserve Board Slides Data
Charles Steindel, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Slides
B. Housing and Construction
Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors of America, moderator Slides
Angela Lynne Delano, Census Bureau Slides
Jed Smith, National Association of Realtors Slides
5:15-7:00 PM
Dinner - organized by discussion groups (details to come)
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
7:30-8:30 AM Continental Breakfast
8:30-9:45 AM General Session
"Housing Prices"
Richard DeKaser, Woodley Park Research, moderator
Jim Kennedy, Federal Reserve Board Slides
Andrew Leventis, Federal Housing Finance Agency Slides
9:45-10:15 AM Coffee Break
10:15-11:30 AM Concurrent Sessions III
A. Corporate Profits
Rosemary Marcuss, Bureau of Economic Analysis, moderator Slides
Richard Rippe, ISI Group Slides
John Silvia, Wachovia Bank Slides
B. International
Stuart Mackintosh, The Group of Thirty, moderator
Jeff Lowe, Bureau of Economic Analysis Slides
Frank Warnock, University of Virginia Slides
Adolfo Laurenti, Mesirow Financial Slides
11:40-12:00 Noon
Closing panel: using data and macroeconomic models
Chris Swann, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Chris Varvares, Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC
Richard DeKaser, Woodley Park Research
Stuart Mackintosh, The Group of Thirty
John Silvia, Wachovia Bank
Paul Thomas, Intel Corporation
Billy Leung, Regional Economic Models, Inc.
